Upside Gap Three Methods Candlestick Patterns Explained: What They Are & How To Trade Them

Playing Markets

Upside gap three methods  patterns are a lesser known but easily recognized candlestick pattern.

Learning how to read and trade them adds a valuable weapon to your trading arsenal.  Most technical analysis is based on Japanese candlestick charts, after all.  In this post, we’ll go over everything you need to know to trade upside gap three methods candle patterns.

To start, let’s define them.

What Is an Upside Gap Three Methods Candlestick Pattern?

An upside gap three methods is a bearish reversal formation.  They occur during uptrends and consist of 1) a large-bodied candlestick moving up, 2) another large-bodied candlestick moving up that is preceded by a gap, and 3) a large bodied candlestick moving down that opens inside the second candle fills the gap.

***Please note, many sources list the upside gap three methods as a bullish continuation pattern.  However, various quantitative analyses show that it actually acts as a bearish reversal pattern, which also matches the way the pattern looks.

Upside Gap Three Methods Pattern Diagram - A Japanese candlestick pattern that includes three candlesticks: 1) a long bullish candlestick, 2) another long bullish candlestick preceded by a gap up, and 3) a long bearish candlestick that is preceded by an inside open and fills the gap. It illustrates that price increased significantly during the first time period, increased more between periods, increased significantly again during the second time period, decreased between periods, then decreased significantly during the third time period to close below the close of the first period—turning the original gap into an important price band.

It is the bearish version of the gap three methods pattern, and therefore the opposite of the downside gap three methods pattern.  (Yes, you read that right.  The confusion is due to naming issues, which we will discuss in the next section.)  It is also an extension of the rising window, which makes it very similar to the upside tasuki gap.

Of course, no candlestick pattern guarantees a particular outcome.  They are more like suggestions than promises.

So, what do upside gap three methods patterns really tell you?

What Upside Gap Three Method Patterns Mean

Upside gap three methods may have the worst naming conventions of any candlestick pattern.

Unlike some patterns, English speakers do not use the Japanese name for this one.  The term “gap three methods” probably refers to how the pattern looks in some way.  However, we could not find any information about its significance.  (If you know the true meaning, please leave it in the comments below).  Moreover, it shares a name with the three methods pattern that is a completely unrelated 5-candlestick pattern.

Even worse, a “upside” gap three methods is actually a bearish reversal pattern while an “downside” gap three methods is actually a bullish reversal pattern.

In trading terms:

  • First Period – The price increases significantly, in line with the upward trend.
  • Pre/Post Market Trading – The price increases.
  • Second Period – The price increases significantly, in line with the upward trend.
  • Pre/Post Market Trading – The price decreases.
  • Third Period – The price decreases significantly, filling the gap.

This threatens the ongoing uptrend and creates several decision zones that are likely to play a major role in determining trend direction.  If buyers cannot push price back  above the formation, it may lead to a bearish reversal and subsequent downtrend.

Figuratively, upside gap three methods indicate that the bears may have received reinforcements.

How To Recognize Upside Gap Three Methods Candlestick Patterns

Patterns are attractive partly because they stand out.

To the untrained eye, they may mean nothing.  But to those with experience, they are something like a beacon.  They draw your attention to a specific segment of price action, encouraging you to look more closely.

To gain this insight, all you need to do is learn the rules and practice finding them on the charts.

By definition, an upside gap three method pattern has several requirements.

  • It must appear during a general uptrend.
  • The first candle must be a bullish long-line candlestick.
  • The second candle must be a bullish long line candlestick.
  • The second candle must open with a gap up.
  • The third candle must be a bearish long-line candlestick.
  • The third candle must open inside the first candle’s body.
  • The third candle must fill the gap between the first two candles.

As you can see, each candlestick has its own rules.

However, some exceptions may be acceptable.

  • The first candle doesn’t necessarily have to be a long candle, as long as it is a candlestick that gives a strong bullish bias (such as a dragonfly doji)
  • The first two candles don’t necessarily have to be long candles, as long as they represent a significant cumulative price increase.
  • The third candle doesn’t necessarily have to open inside the second candle, as long as it fills the gap between the first and second.
  • The third candle doesn’t necessarily have to be a long candle, as long as all other criteria are met.

You may find better results by stretching some of these criteria (or even adding your own).  For instance, your analysis may reveal that gap three methods patterns with larger gaps play out more reliably than those with smaller gaps.  Or, you may find something else entirely.

Technically, these variations may fall more accurately under other candlestick reversal patterns, like the upside tasuki gap.

This is okay though, as implication supersedes classification.  And similar patterns usually have similar implications (though not always).

Yet, that does not mean that these standards are wholly irrelevant.  In fact, certain ones are definitely mandatory, such as the full gap fill and the direction of the candles in relation to trend.  It just means that deeper examination may help you identify more and/or better trading opportunities.

Ultimately, how seriously you take each of these guidelines is up to you.  Don’t forget that the purpose of analyzing candlestick patterns is to interpret underlying price action.  Your pattern labeling skills are less important.

To this end, you need to understand where they fit.

Where Upside Gap Three Methods Fit in the Chart Narrative

The markets are often described as a battle between the bulls and the bears.

Upside gap three method patterns show that the bulls pressed their advantage on candle one (and between candles one and two), pressed even further on candle two, then surrendered control to the bears by the end of candle three.

On the chart, it looks like a turning point.

A Day-by-Day Example

The first day played out as expected, with a powerful move higher.  That was followed by more bullish action during after hours trading.  From there, the second day looked much like the first, with buyers dominating the day.  After that however, the sellers finally showed up, leading to a dramatic fall that began almost immediately after regular trading hours ended.  By the close of the third day, price was lower than it closed on the first day.

The stage is now set for a fight over the levels highlighted by this price action.  If sellers can defend these levels, the chance of a bearish reversal increases.

Please note:  This is only an illustration.  Upside gap three methods patterns can reflect any number of real-world scenarios.

In the short-term, it amounts to a valiant counterattack.

The question for traders:

“Can renewed buying pressure save the uptrend or will the bears complete the reversal?”

To answer that question, you’ll need more than an understanding of Japanese candlesticks and candlestick patterns.  You’ll want to evaluate both within the context of longer-term chart patterns as well as trend and price levels.  You’ll also want to make use of your own chart markup and indicators.

Explore the history of your preferred asset(s) with respect to gap three methods candlestick patterns and apply your findings to your own trading style.

The more thorough your technical analysis, the more clear the story in the charts becomes.

How To Trade Upside Gap Three Methods Candle Patterns

Bearish reversal patterns are great places to enter shorts or exit longs, especially when you see them coming.

As such, upside gap three methods candle patterns serve as easy-to-spot signs of potential changes from bullish to bearish momentum.  They may even lead to cycle-ending tops.

In most cases, you can assign greater weight to multi-stick patterns than single candles because they provide more information over a longer duration.  However, you should wait for all candles to close before making any decisions.  Otherwise, there is a good chance that you’ll get caught in a fake out.

Additionally, there are a few other things you should consider before trading candlestick patterns.

First and foremost, they are never a “sure thing.”  According to Bulkowski’s Encyclopedia of Candlestick Patterns, if you treat them as bearish reversal signals, upside gap three methods have a hit rate of 59% (while downside gap three methods have a hit rate of 62% as bullish reversal signals).  That isn’t all that great.  And obviously, this comes in direct opposition to the continuation signal narrative.

And obviously, this comes in direct opposition to the continuation signal narrative.

What’s more, candlestick patterns do not have uniform price targets or measured moves like chart patterns do.  That makes position management trickier.

Plus, failed reversal patterns often lead to continuation or consolidation.  Thus, you’d be wise to seek additional confirmation factors to increase your odds of a successful trade.

Some of these include:

  • Volume – Reversals are often accompanied by elevated trading volume.  For gap three methods patterns, you want to see a spike on the third candle (or shortly thereafter).
  • Price Formations – Bearish reversal patterns that form just below important resistance levels tend to be more reliable.  They also reinforce the strength of these levels.
  • Oscillator Shift – Oscillating indicators like the RSI or stochastics are commonly used to identify reversals by analyzing slope, percentile, and/or divergence.

The more corroborating elements are present, the more confident you can be about the strength of a bearish gap three methods reversal signal.

Even so, it would be difficult to form a successful trading strategy built around any single candlestick pattern.  There simply isn’t enough there to develop a strong edge.  It would still be suboptimal with an expert understanding of trading math, order execution, market psychology, risk management, options, and automation.

In essence, gap three methods patterns are more useful idea givers than trade makers.

Better yet, you’ll probably find more success building your strategy around other tools and using candlestick patterns as the final point of confirmation.

Other Candlestick Pattern Types

There are many bearish reversal candlestick patterns.

The upside gap three methods is only one.

Likewise, there are many bullish reversal candlestick patterns.  Not to mention, you have bearish continuation candlestick patterns and bullish continuation candlestick patterns.

For most traders though, tackling all candlestick patterns at once may be the best learning path.

Sure, it is quite a long list.

Luckily for us all, you don’t need to memorize every pattern and its criteria.  Instead, focus on price action and technical analysis principles.  The goal is to be able to look at any group of candlesticks and understand what they mean.

The more candlestick patterns you study, the easier this will become.

Takeaways

To review:

Upside gap three methods are a type of candlestick pattern that signal a potential bearish reversal.  While not a guarantee, their appearance may indicate that market conditions are shifting in favor of sellers.  When used properly, this can help you find winning trades.

Of course, there are other candlestick patterns that you should learn about.  Still, the ability to recognize patterns is not enough to trade successfully on its own.

Nonetheless, you’ve now added one more weapon to your trading arsenal.

Have questions or more information to add?  Contribute to the conversation in the comments below!  Or, if you know someone who could benefit from this post, share it with them.  You can also check out our Candlestick Patterns Guide to improve your candlestick analysis skills.